Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043710 0.047658 0.051666 0.056035 0.060653 0.065385 0.070591
2025-01-05 0.037618 0.043401 0.049497 0.056373 0.063887 0.071823 0.080813
2025-01-12 0.032251 0.039240 0.046864 0.055736 0.065715 0.076532 0.089083
2025-01-19 0.028805 0.036781 0.045753 0.056481 0.068845 0.082540 0.098745
2025-01-26 0.025270 0.033840 0.043774 0.055961 0.070329 0.086560 0.106107
2025-02-02 0.022723 0.031805 0.042624 0.056204 0.072538 0.091305 0.114245
2025-02-09 0.020977 0.030566 0.042274 0.057270 0.075619 0.097008 0.123484
2025-02-16 0.020081 0.030294 0.043028 0.059617 0.080207 0.104492 0.134858
2025-02-23 0.017379 0.027454 0.040367 0.057562 0.079290 0.105299 0.138230
2025-03-02 0.015574 0.025659 0.038909 0.056894 0.079979 0.107963 0.143774
2025-03-09 0.014075 0.024161 0.037730 0.056488 0.080918 0.110877 0.149589
2025-03-16 0.013586 0.024046 0.038371 0.058437 0.084845 0.117499 0.159983
2025-03-23 0.012739 0.023378 0.038252 0.059405 0.087581 0.122747 0.168850
2025-03-30 0.011897 0.022654 0.038008 0.060180 0.090059 0.127692 0.177397
2025-04-06 0.010757 0.021384 0.036920 0.059742 0.090904 0.130549 0.183340
2025-04-13 0.010111 0.020835 0.036828 0.060650 0.093521 0.135678 0.192178
2025-04-20 0.009143 0.019686 0.035787 0.060172 0.094238 0.138336 0.197877
2025-04-27 0.008461 0.018953 0.035319 0.060465 0.095974 0.142307 0.205266
2025-05-04 0.008044 0.018636 0.035453 0.061607 0.098862 0.147792 0.214622
2025-05-11 0.007970 0.018910 0.036501 0.064087 0.103622 0.155781 0.227270
2025-05-18 0.006870 0.017253 0.034445 0.061932 0.101874 0.155108 0.228652
2025-05-25 0.006178 0.016274 0.033406 0.061232 0.102121 0.157060 0.233440
2025-06-01 0.005598 0.015454 0.032577 0.060806 0.102724 0.159473 0.238827